Commentary November 19, 2020

The 2020 Election Was a Perfect Example of the Weaknesses — and Strengths — of Political Polls

Business Insider

Daniel A. Cox

For those of us interested in understanding the world, polling offers an incredibly useful and cost-effective tool. It’s critical that we get it right.

Commentary October 26, 2020

What’s Going on with Republican Women?

Bulwark

Daniel A. Cox, Brent Orrell

It is easy to discount QAnon—but the reality is it is quickly emerging from the shadows into a full-blown political movement that periodically receives the passive, and at times, active support of the president of the United States.

Commentary October 25, 2020

Biden’s ‘Seize the Center’ Campaign Strategy May Just Deliver Him the White House

Business Insider

Daniel A. Cox

If Biden is able to capitalize on the current set of circumstances presented by an unpopular incumbent, he may show the efficacy of persuasion-based tactics simply by demonstrating that there are more persuadable voters than many of us think.

Commentary September 17, 2020

More and More Americans aren’t Religious. Why are Democrats Ignoring These Voters?

FiveThirtyEight

Daniel A. Cox, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Often lost in this, though, is the fact that Democrats are mostly ignoring a massive group of voters who are becoming an increasingly crucial part of their base: people who don’t have any religion at all.

Commentary August 12, 2020

What Happens to Parents When Community Spaces Close?

RealClearPolicy

Daniel A. Cox, Samuel J. Abrams

If it takes a village to raise a child, what happens to parents when the village goes into lockdown?

It seems clear that Trump’s response to the COVID-19 crisis has hurt him politically. The AEI survey finds that the public has become increasingly critical of Trump’s response to the pandemic, even among his most loyal supporters.

Not all Americans are anxious for businesses to reopen. In fact, there is a fairly stark divide among white, black and Hispanic Americans on the subject.

Data suggests Biden may be underperforming with black voters when compared with recent Democratic presidential candidates. If that is happening, it may be because younger black Americans don’t support him as strongly as their elders.

Majorities of Americans remain concerned about COVID-19, and it’s unclear what in-person religious services will look like.

Millennials are more likely to say they they have no religion as they are to identify as Christian, as evidence mounts that today’s younger generations may be leaving religion for good.