Latest Publications

October 28, 2024Daniel A. Cox

Are Young Men Really Going to Vote for Donald Trump?

Young men are leaning towards Trump in recent polls. Are the polls accurate?

October 16, 2024Daniel A. Cox

All the single ladies are backing Kamala

Unmarried women make up a whopping 25% of the electorate — and that’s bad news for Donald Trump.

August 28, 2024Daniel A. Cox

Kamala’s Gen Z problem

In the 48 hours after Kamala Harris announced her run for president on July 21, nearly 40,000 people registered to vote on vote.org — 83% of whom were under 35.

July 15, 2024Daniel A. Cox

The GOP is Poised to Make Gains With Young Voters

Of the many ways that Donald Trump has scrambled the country’s political demography, none is more surprising than the way he changed the GOP’s relationship with young voters.

Short Reads

  • Why Young People Feel Misunderstood By The Opposite Sex
  • The Gender Divide in Youth Political Affiliation
  • Young Men Distrust Both Parties
Surveys show a growing gap emerging between young men and women. But the gender divide is not simply about politics, but a more fundamental misunderstanding. Our most recent survey revealed that only 42 percent of young men believe young women understand the problems men face in American society. Similarly, a majority (72 percent) of young women feel young men don’t understand their struggles. To better understand why so many young men and women feel misunderstood we decided to ask them to share their views, in their own words.
The 2024 election revealed major weaknesses in the Democratic Party’s coalition. Young voters, a reliable Democratic constituency for the last two decades, backed Harris over Trump by a relatively narrow margin. According to AP VoteCast, Donald Trump lost the youth vote by only 4 points (47 vs. 51 percent), driven by his strong showing among young male voters. But rather than revealing a new fault line, the 2024 election reflected the growing gender divergence in youth political identity.
Young Men Distrust Both Parties: There are growing signs that young adults do not trust either political party. The share of young adults who have a negative view of the Democratic and Republican Parties has risen dramatically in recent years. Today, 31 percent of young adults have a negative view of both parties, far greater than among older Americans. But there is a pronounced gender gap in the perception of the political parties. Young men are uniquely distrustful towards both the GOP and Democrats. Thirty-Seven percent of men compared to 26 percent of women have an unfavorable view of both Democrats and Republicans. Young women are significantly more likely than men to have a favorable view of the Democratic Party and negative view of the Republican Party.